Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 7.172657e-07 1.351433e-06 2.319775e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.074682e-07 8.399288e-07 1.878776e-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.469201e-07 5.785258e-07 1.629721e-06 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000028
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.237870e-08 4.156326e-07 1.446736e-06 0.000004 0.000009 0.000019 0.000037
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.369421e-08 2.959605e-07 1.272294e-06 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000045
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.488157e-08 2.119871e-07 1.124793e-06 0.000004 0.000011 0.000026 0.000054
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.312665e-09 1.419602e-07 9.524812e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000028 0.000062
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.879593e-09 1.016231e-07 8.498252e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000032 0.000072
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.393905e-10 7.188768e-08 7.566364e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000035 0.000082
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.815125e-11 4.698657e-08 6.468865e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000090
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.595959e-11 3.664709e-08 6.185010e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000042 0.000103
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.864035e-12 3.185374e-08 6.290781e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000048 0.000120
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.149760e-16 1.996817e-08 5.578338e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000054 0.000138
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.191924e-08 4.889514e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000060 0.000156
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.636217e-09 4.497729e-07 0.000004 0.000021 0.000067 0.000178
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.751905e-09 4.132887e-07 0.000004 0.000023 0.000074 0.000201
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.665963e-09 3.697931e-07 0.000005 0.000024 0.000081 0.000223
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.396842e-09 3.293372e-07 0.000005 0.000025 0.000087 0.000246
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.505128e-10 2.754815e-07 0.000004 0.000026 0.000092 0.000266
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.340276e-10 2.448049e-07 0.000004 0.000027 0.000099 0.000290
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.297027e-11 2.158926e-07 0.000004 0.000028 0.000106 0.000315
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.651463e-11 1.799587e-07 0.000004 0.000029 0.000111 0.000336
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.602351e-12 1.726308e-07 0.000004 0.000031 0.000121 0.000369